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Kirill Pankratov's avatar

(Continued). These dates (~1.5 mY and ~300 kY ago) remarkably coincide with big steps in stone age technology. The 1st one marks the time the Acheulean (or “mode 2”) technology appeared in Eurasia – in Middle East and in India – while in Africa it began earlier (~1.7 mY ago). So, this might be the sign of exit from Africa of carriers of this technology (and emergence of “80% branch” or “stem 1” of previous comment). This might be the last true “exit from Africa” of HS ancestors.

The second date is approximate time of appearance of Levallois technology and the beginning of the MP. It likely appeared in W. Eurasia first and led to population growth and spread into Africa, where it merged with the “20% branch”. So, after ~300 kY ago there appeared a unified Eurasian-African population of early modern humans. It is interesting that there are parallel fossil African-Eurasian pairs across huge distances that have similar looks and archaic/modern feature combinations: Jebel Irhoud and Hualongdong (~300 kY) or Eli Spring (Kenya) and Dali (China) ~250 kY. Probably this unified population were some variants of H. heidelbergensis.

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Kirill Pankratov's avatar

It is very exciting to put some “face” on abstract genomic data of “Denisovans”.

I think it is a true revolution in paleoanthropology in the last 15 years – the knowledge that there were no firm genetic barriers between any homo branches, even after >1mY separation. As recently as 2009 the dogma was that HS, Neanderthals and erectuses were completely separate species.

One interesting development in the last couple of years has been the “deep structure” present in modern HS, and two much-quoted papers “A structured coalescent model reveals deep ancestral structure shared by all modern humans” (Cousins et al, 2025) and a “two stems” model (Ragsdale et al, 2023), as well as many works on “ghost populations” point to a similar thing. There was a very ancient genetic separation between ancestral HS branches (1.5 mY in Cousins et all, 1.0-1.2 mY “stem 1 - stem 2 split” in Ragsdale et al, (also the node (1) in the picture in this post), and much later (~300 kY ago) the merger of these branches (or merger of “stem 2” with “stem 1E” and “stem 1s” in Ragsdale et al).

If these models are relatively correct, I don’t believe a genetic barrier could be maintained for ~1mY within a single continent. These two branches most likely existed across the narrowest divide – Africa – SW Asia corridor. Then the “stem 1” and the Cousins et al 80% branch (that included Neanderthals and Denisovans) was likely in Eurasia, and the “stem 2” or 20% branch – in Africa. From that it would follow that most of the modern HS ancestry is in fact the Eurasian one.

The “2 stems” model of Ragsdale et al is unnecessarily convoluted, I believe, mainly to avoid the notion of “African superarchaic” population (likely for ideological reason), which would make the model simpler, instead of it being a weird “subway map”.

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